Norman J. Rosenberg (auth.), Norman J. Rosenberg (eds.)'s Towards an Integrated Impact Assessment of Climate Change: PDF

By Norman J. Rosenberg (auth.), Norman J. Rosenberg (eds.)

ISBN-10: 9401049297

ISBN-13: 9789401049290

ISBN-10: 940112096X

ISBN-13: 9789401120968

General stream types country that the critical usa (and different mid-latitude continental areas) becomes hotter and drier because the results of greenhouse warming. in this premise the dustbowl interval of the Thirties was once chosen as an analogue of weather swap and its climate files imposed at the Missouri--Iowa--Kansas sector to evaluate how present agriculture, forestry, water assets and effort and the total neighborhood economic climate will be affected. an identical weather used to be additionally imposed on a MINK sector 40 years into the long run, wherein time weather switch may very well be felt, to evaluate even if technological and societal switch might regulate the region's vulnerability to weather swap. one other premise of the research used to be that folks wouldn't undergo the affects of weather switch passively, yet could use availabe instruments to ease the tension. The emerging atmospheric focus of carbon dioxide, anticipated to be the key reason behind greenhouse warming, additionally works to enhance plant development and decrease plant water use. So the consequences of this `Co2 fertilization' have been additionally thought of within the research. the implications, a few of them mind-blowing, of this primary, fully-integrated research of weather swap affects and responses are stated during this book.

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Extra info for Towards an Integrated Impact Assessment of Climate Change: The MINK Study

Example text

Easterling et al. corn and soybeans, yields with CO 2 enrichment and adjustments are higher than control yields. Yields after adjustment were higher than without adjustment for all crops except irrigated wheat (Tablc VII). 9 t/ha, down 25% from control yields (Table VI). 2 tlha, 20% less than control yields but 6% more than without-adjustment yields (Table VII). 9 t/ha, 9% higher under the analog climate than under the control (Table VI). 6 tlha, only 3% above control after adjustments (Table VII).

The princiClimatic Change June 1993 Agricultural Impacts of and Responses to Climate Change ill the lvllNK Regioll 39 pal adjustment practice for sorghum, the use of longer season varieties, would increase the irrigation requirement by 28% relative to the control. Although this practice converts a 10% yield loss for sorghum (Table VI) to a 13% yield gain (Table VII), the increased cost of meeting the higher irrigation requirement more than offsets the increased benefits of the higher yield. Consequently, farmers engaged in production of irrigated sorghum would not likely find it economically attractive to switch to longer season varieties.

Frederick's account (1991) of increasing water scarcity in the western part of MINK suggests that it probably would not be economical for farmers with irrigated land in that part of the region to respond to higher crop water requirements under the analog climate by pumping more, holding the total amount of irrigated land constant. Our analysis of the profitability of adjustments to the impacts of the analog climate in irrigated corn and sorghum production also indicated that the amounts of groundwater withdrawals probably would not be those indicated by EPIC.

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Towards an Integrated Impact Assessment of Climate Change: The MINK Study by Norman J. Rosenberg (auth.), Norman J. Rosenberg (eds.)


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