By Stephen Eckett
The Almanac is a special reference paintings delivering investors and traders with the information to take on the markets within the yr forward. the most part includes fifty two weekly articles concentrating on a variety of suggestions in response to unique seasonality research. those are supplemented with proof, figures and minutiae designated to the Almanac. this is often a very precious and informative better half to the monetary 12 months, making the Almanac the single crucial publication for the intense dealer or investor. The Almanac involves 3 major sections: daily monetary facts. information and records. every one web page of this part contains key monetary dates together with: very important fiscal releases, by-product agreement expiries, alternate vacation trips, and corporate effects anticipated that week. The pages additionally characteristic the result of a distinct examine of the old functionality of the marketplace for every day and week of the yr - the Sinclair Numbers. Seasonality learn - every one web page of the diary is observed by way of an unique, informative and interesting article. those conceal reviews of tendencies and anomalies, seasonality research, momentum results, area functionality, arbitrage possibilities, FTSE Index stories, in addition to the result of a few more odd and eye-opening learn. records - a set of articles that includes statistical research of united kingdom inventory marketplace info and extra wide-ranging subject matters than the Diary. particular to the Almanac, zone, weekly and day-by-day industry functionality research information is integrated. Reference - The Reference part contains history information regarding united kingdom and overseas inventory indices. issues lined comprise uncomplicated proof in regards to the industry, alternate codes, a timetable of the buying and selling day and a glance on the unique components of the feet 30 of 1935 and the FTSE a hundred of 1984.
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Additional info for The UK Stock Market Almanac 2014: Seasonality Analysis and Studies of Market Anomalies to Give You an Edge in the Year Ahead
Let’s take this opportunity to look at Exxon Mobil shares and see if they have any correlation with those of Royal Dutch Shell shares (at the time of writing these are the two largest capitalised stocks in their respective markets). The following scatter chart plots monthly returns of Exxon [XOM] shares against monthly returns of Royal Dutch Shell [RDSB] shares for the period 2000 to 2013. As Exxon shares are listed on the NYSE and are priced in US dollars the returns used here are the US dollar returns of Exxon converted into sterling.
Rangold Resources is the only company in the FTSE 350 whose shares have increased every summer over the period. 4%. 2% percentage points. Stocks that don’t like summer The three stocks in the table below have all fallen in at least seven of the past 10 summers and have a negative average return for the summers in this period. 2% each summer over the 10-year period. Week 26 FIFA World Cup Does historic behaviour of stock markets around the time of the four-yearly FIFA World Cup (for the benefit of American readers, the World Cup is a soccer competition – a game where 22 men run around and then Germany wins on penalties) have any interest for investors?
It can be seen that gold has been historically strong in February, September and November, and weak in March and October. This profile of behaviour would seem to have some persistency as the same pattern can be seen for the periods 1990 to 2013 and 2000 to 2013. Gold and equities The following chart shows the ratio of the FTSE All-Share Index to gold (priced in sterling) since 1968. 3 in September 2011. 3. Week 13 Exxon v Shell It was 25 years ago this week that the Exxon Valdez ran aground in Prince William Sound in Alaska.
The UK Stock Market Almanac 2014: Seasonality Analysis and Studies of Market Anomalies to Give You an Edge in the Year Ahead by Stephen Eckett