By Jack Meyer (auth.), Richard E. Just, Rulon D. Pope (eds.)
After all of the examine on agricultural hazard so far, the therapy of threat in agricultural learn is way from harmonious. Many competing hazard types were proposed. a few new methodologies are principally untested. a few of the top empirical methodologies in agricultural monetary study are poorly suited to issues of mixture info the place chance averse habit is much less more likely to be important.
This ebook is meant to (i) outline the present kingdom of the literature on agricultural probability examine, (ii) offer a severe evaluate of monetary danger learn on agriculture thus far and (iii) set a examine time table that may meet destiny wishes and customers. this kind of study provides to develop into of accelerating significance simply because agricultural coverage within the usa and somewhere else has decidedly shifted from specific source of revenue help pursuits to risk-related motivations of assisting farmers care for possibility. starting with the 1996 Farm invoice, the first set of coverage tools from U.S. agriculture has shifted from aim costs and put aside acreage to agricultural crop assurance.
simply because this publication is meant to have particular implications for U.S. agricultural coverage, it has a decidedly household scope, yet sincerely a few of the matters have program out of the country. for every of the papers and themes incorporated during this quantity, participants were chosen to provide the most powerful and broadest attainable therapy of every part of the matter. the result's this complete reference e-book at the economics of agricultural risk.
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Additional resources for A Comprehensive Assessment of the Role of Risk in U.S. Agriculture
Alternatively, if these biases reflect the agent's own subjective probability estimation (as Smith claims), they have clear relevance for policy if expert judgments are imperfect. 32 THE ROLE OF RISK IN AGRICULTURE WHAT ARE THE IMPORTANT NEW DEVELOPMENTS, AND WHAT SHOULD BE THE RESPONSE TO THE ANOMALIES? With the exception of reference point concerns and perhaps differences between subjects' and experts' probability estimates, most economists view models adjusted to permit anomalies as reflecting positive, rather than normative, behavior.
This chapter emphasizes two themes. The first theme is that different methods for ordering choices whose outcomes are described by probability distributions have different assumptions with varying degrees of strength. These assumptions define decision makers' preferences and probability distributions describing possible outcomes. The second theme is that methods used to order choices with uncertain outcomes depend on the strength or weakness of assumptions applied to both decision makers' preferences and probability distributions.
Psychological Bulletin 51: 380-417. Ellsberg, D. 1961. " Quarterly Journal fJf Economics 75: 643-669. E. Just, and A. Schmitz. 1980. " Quarterly Journal of Economics 94: 317-328. "An Axiomatic Characterization of Skew-Symmetric Bilinear 1981. C. " Economics Letters 8: 311-313. _ . 1988. Nonlinear Preference and Utility Theory. Baltimore: Johns Hopkins University Press. J. Savage. 1948. " Journal of Political Economy 56: 279-304. , and C. Camerer. 1994. " Econometrica 62: 1251-1290. P. Peterson.
A Comprehensive Assessment of the Role of Risk in U.S. Agriculture by Jack Meyer (auth.), Richard E. Just, Rulon D. Pope (eds.)